Scenario

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Scenario
A set of assessment-specific assumptions about the results of one or more variables in the assessment. There are also alternative definitions that are not used in the Intarese framework:
  1. Archetypal descriptions of alternative images of the future, created from mental maps or models that reflect different perspectives on past, present and future developments. [1]
  2. A coherent, internally consistent and plausible description of a possible future state of the world. [2]
  3. Variation in the assumptions used to create models. [3]
References
  1. Rotmans, J. (1998). Methods for IA: The challenges and opportunities ahead. Environmental modelling and Assessment 3(3), 155.
  2. Parry, M. and Carter, T. (1998). Climate impact and Adaptation Assessment. Earthscan Publications Ltd., London, UK.
  3. Peterson G.D., Cumming G.S., Carpenter S.R. (2003). Scenario Planning: a Tool for Conservation in an Uncertain World. Conservation Biology 17(2), 358-366.